https://arab.news/42ca9
- Rescue package needed 鈥榯o restore confidence鈥� and kick-start major banking reforms
PARIS: A former Lebanese economy and trade minister has called for a second Paris summit to bail out the debt-ridden nation with financial support of up to $25 billion.
Nasser Saidi, who is also a former deputy governor of Lebanon鈥檚 central bank, told Arab News that restructuring of the country鈥檚 banking system is needed urgently and that 鈥渄epositors should not have to pay for banks鈥� mismanagement.鈥�
Financial support of between $20 billion and $25 billion is needed 鈥渢o restore confidence,鈥� he said.
The former minister鈥檚 comments come almost two years after a Paris conference rallied international support for an $11 billion investment program in Lebanon. More than 50 countries, including 黑料社区, the US and Russia, took part in the summit alongside the World Bank, the IMF and major finance institutions.
Saidi told Arab News: 鈥淲e need to address Lebanon鈥檚 debt burden as part of a comprehensive macro-economic fiscal, financial, banking and currency reform program. The debt problem cannot be viewed in isolation.鈥�
The country鈥檚 sovereign debt is now running at $90 billion, or 160 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), he said. The cost of servicing the debt is around $10 billion, which is 22 percent of GDP and more than 65 percent of government revenue 鈥� 鈥渁 debt burden that is totally unsustainable.鈥�
Lebanon鈥檚 central bank also owes $120 billion to the country鈥檚 banks that it is unable to repay. 鈥淪o when we talk about the problem, it means addressing the sovereign debt problem and the central bank debt problem,鈥� Saidi said.
He said the $11 billion in infrastructure spending promised at the 2018 Paris meeting 鈥渋s no longer relevant because Lebanon鈥檚 financial circumstances have changed radically.鈥�
鈥淟ebanon is in a recession that will become a depression, meaning that GDP might decline by 8 to 10 percent this year,鈥� the former minister warned. 鈥淎n economic stabilization fund of around $20 to $25 billion is required for balance of payments problems, dealing with liquidity at the banks and, at the same time, it would need to be accompanied by a restructuring of the banking system.
Saidi urged major shareholders to help Lebanon鈥檚 struggling banks recapitalize with cash injections drawn from past profits.
鈥淩ecently Bank Audi sold its subsidiary in Egypt. Other banks should sell their subsidiaries outside and bring their money home. They may have other investments they can liquidate, such as real estate, in order to increase capital.鈥�
The former minister claimed that 鈥渨ith the $25 billion Lebanon requires, confidence will be restored, and you can start attracting capital back into the country.鈥�
Commenting on recent government reforms in the energy sector, including electricity, Saidi said: 鈥淚t is totally unrealistic; power plants can be built in six months. We need to stop corruption and waste. GE, Siemens and the Chinese can build plants in six months. The fuel bought now is priced above international prices, so the government should approach Gulf countries and ask them to supply us with fuel at international prices or even lower, in line with what they did for Egypt in the past.
鈥淭hat would reduce our fuel and electricity bill by $3 billion. This package needs to be completed with a social safety net since, according to World Bank figures, one-third of the Lebanese population is living below the poverty line,鈥� he said.